AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
BUCCANEERS
0%
LIONS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
PIEDM By 1-7 points
4.0%
PIEDM By 8-14 points
0.8%
CHSO By 1-7 points
13.7%
CHSO By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Piedmont
72
PIEDMONT
Charleston Southern
88
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Piedmont
48
PIEDMONT
Charleston Southern
92
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buccaneers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buccaneers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
PIEDM @ CHSO
81 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+53.0% more
Charleston Southern: 17.4
vs
Piedmont: 11.4
Rebounding (L5)
+32.5% more
Charleston Southern: 39.6
vs
Piedmont: 29.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Charleston Southern: 45.3%
vs
Piedmont: 36.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
Charleston Southern: 38.8%
vs
Piedmont: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIEDM Score
72.0
81
CHSO Score
88.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 31.4
36.0 / 30.0
Assists
17.4 / 11.4
22.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.9
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 36.8
45.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 69.7
74.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 29.9
54.0 / 36.0
Steals
4.5 / 7.7
3.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 15.4
17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PIEDM
--
CHSO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PIEDM
--
CHSO
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PIEDM
--
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
PIEDM
CHSO
PIEDM
ML
43%
13-17
100%
1-0
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
ATS
50%
15-15
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
TTL
50%
15-15
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0