Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mavericks @ Bulldogs MRCY @ BRY

MERCY

MAVERICKSMRCY

0-0  |  Road

61
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 11:00 AM ET
Chace Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

BRYANT

BULLDOGSBRY

2-5  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
MAVERICKS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
BRYANT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Bryant)
MavericksMRCY (-3.5) 0 BulldogsBRY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mavericks Cover

0.3%

Bulldogs Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRY -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRY)

MRCY By 1-7 points

0.3%

MRCY By 8-14 points

0.0%

BRY By 1-7 points

2.2%

BRY By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
74
MERCY
101
BRYANT
Simulated Score
65
MERCY
78
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 MRCY @ BRY 61 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +23.0%
Bryant: 83.3% vs Mercy: 60.3%
Rebounding (L5) +12.6% more
Bryant: 32.2 vs Mercy: 28.6
Steals (L5) +38.8% more
Mercy: 9.2 vs Bryant: 5.6
Assists (L5) +28.3% more
Mercy: 13.8 vs Bryant: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MRCY Score 74.0 61
BRY Score 101.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.8 / 45.8 30.0 / 14.0
Assists 9.9 / 13.8 22.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.9 / 5.1 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 34.6 / 40.6 50.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 83.3 / 60.3 58.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 32.2 / 28.6 49.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.6 / 9.2 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.7 / 16.7 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRCY Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
BRY
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -7.6 ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRCY Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
BRY
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -7.6 ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MRCY
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.7
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRY
MRCY
BRY
MRCY
ML
70% 21-9
100% 1-0
80% 24-6
100% 1-0
ATS
73% 22-8
100% 1-0
80% 24-6
100% 1-0
TTL
67% 20-10
100% 1-0
100% 30-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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