WORCESTER STATE
LANCERSWORST
0-0 | Road
53
HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
2-6 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
50%
CRUSADERS
50%
LANCERS
--
CRUSADERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-72.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +72.0 points (Holy Cross)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HC -72.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)
WORST By 1-7 points
0.0%
WORST By 8-14 points
0.0%
HC By 1-7 points
0.0%
HC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Worcester State
35
WORCESTER STATE
Holy Cross
107
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
Worcester State
53
WORCESTER STATE
Holy Cross
82
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -72.0
D
Sim
Crusaders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
142
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
o140.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
WORST @ HC
53 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Holy Cross: 46.6%
vs
Worcester State: 39.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Holy Cross: 67.2%
vs
Worcester State: 62.0%
Blocks (L5)
+67.0% more
Worcester State: 3.0
vs
Holy Cross: 1.0
Steals (L5)
+45.7% more
Worcester State: 10.0
vs
Holy Cross: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WORST Score
35.0
53
HC Score
107.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 37.0
42.0 / 25.0
Assists
11.3 / 18.0
15.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.0 / 3.0
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 39.0
42.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
67.2 / 62.0
54.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
28.4 / 42.0
47.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.4 / 10.0
13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 23.0
14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WORST
--
HC
Advantage
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WORST
--
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WORST
--
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
WORST
HC
WORST
ML
52%
16-15
--
0-0
61%
19-12
--
0-0
ATS
55%
17-14
--
0-0
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
18-13
--
0-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0
Contextual Game News
