AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
COLONIALS
100%
FLAMES
--
COLONIALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UIC -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
UIC By 1-7 points
27.2%
UIC By 8-14 points
23.0%
RMU By 1-7 points
18.6%
RMU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UIC
64
UIC
Robert Morris
59
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
UIC
75
UIC
Robert Morris
67
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.0
Loss
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u151.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
UIC @ RMU
74 - 88
Feb 19, 2022
UIC @ RMU
96 - 88
Feb 3, 2022
RMU @ UIC
75 - 80
Jan 16, 2021
RMU @ UIC
62 - 66
Jan 15, 2021
RMU @ UIC
53 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.0% more
UIC: 4.4
vs
Robert Morris: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.5%
UIC: 77.8%
vs
Robert Morris: 60.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
UIC: 47.9%
vs
Robert Morris: 43.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
UIC: 29.2%
vs
Robert Morris: 26.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIC Score
64.0
74
RMU Score
59.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.3 / 29.2
48.0 / 39.0
Assists
14.9 / 13.8
25.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.4
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 47.9
48.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
60.3 / 77.8
81.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 36.3
40.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.1 / 8.3
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 14.8
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
UIC
RMU
UIC
ML
36%
12-21
57%
20-15
56%
18-14
44%
15-19
ATS
55%
18-15
54%
19-16
56%
18-14
44%
15-19
TTL
55%
18-15
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
34-0