Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Bison STMARYSMD @ HOW

ST. MARY'S (MD)

SEAHAWKSSTMARYSMD

0-0  |  Road

61
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 2:00 PM ET
Burr Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

4-4  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
📊
BISON
0%
SEAHAWKS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
93.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Howard)
SeahawksSTMARYSMD (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

4.5%

Bison Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOW -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)

STMARYSMD By 1-7 points

3.3%

STMARYSMD By 8-14 points

0.6%

HOW By 1-7 points

12.2%

HOW By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
38
ST. MARY'S (MD)
55
HOWARD
Simulated Score
47
ST. MARY'S (MD)
98
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 93.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 STMARYSMD @ HOW 61 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +70.5% more
Howard: 30.9 vs St. Mary's (MD): 18.2
Steals (L5) +69.5% more
Howard: 9.5 vs St. Mary's (MD): 5.6
Assists (L5) +27.8% more
Howard: 12.4 vs St. Mary's (MD): 9.7
Blocks (L5) +26.6% more
Howard: 2.2 vs St. Mary's (MD): 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STMARYSMD Score 38.0 61
HOW Score 55.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 30.5 37.0 / 24.0
Assists 12.4 / 9.7 25.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.2 / 1.7 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 35.8 62.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 66.8 65.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 30.9 / 18.2 47.0 / 29.0
Steals 9.5 / 5.6 13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 17.1 11.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STMARYSMD
--
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STMARYSMD
--
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
STMARYSMD
--
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
STMARYSMD
HOW
STMARYSMD
ML
59% 20-14
100% 2-0
71% 22-9
100% 2-0
ATS
59% 20-14
100% 2-0
71% 22-9
100% 2-0
TTL
62% 21-13
0% 0-2
100% 31-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 6 hours, 46 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 19 hours, 36 minutes ago
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
yahoo 2 days, 20 hours ago
Jason Kidd Nears ESPN Studio Analyst Role for NBA Countdown
theathleticuk 3 days, 1 hour ago
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 7 hours ago