AI Model Win Probability
MARAUDERS
100%
DUKES
0%
MARAUDERS
--
DUKES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Duquesne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUQ -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)
CSO By 1-7 points
0.1%
CSO By 8-14 points
0.0%
DUQ By 1-7 points
1.1%
DUQ By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Central State (OH)
60
CENTRAL STATE (OH)
Duquesne
90
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
Central State (OH)
55
CENTRAL STATE (OH)
Duquesne
85
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dukes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dukes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dukes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Dukes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
CSO @ DUQ
80 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+165.8% more
Duquesne: 16.0
vs
Central State (OH): 6.0
Steals (L5)
+68.8% more
Duquesne: 9.6
vs
Central State (OH): 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+42.9% more
Duquesne: 1.7
vs
Central State (OH): 1.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+18.5%
Duquesne: 51.5%
vs
Central State (OH): 33.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSO Score
60.0
80
DUQ Score
90.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 28.2
53.0 / 37.0
Assists
16.0 / 6.0
23.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.7 / 1.2
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 33.0
64.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 73.5
71.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 36.2
32.0 / 27.0
Steals
9.6 / 5.7
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 17.7
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSO
--
DUQ
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSO
--
DUQ
Advantage
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CSO
--
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
CSO
DUQ
CSO
ML
53%
17-15
50%
1-1
58%
18-13
100%
2-0
ATS
69%
22-10
50%
1-1
58%
18-13
100%
2-0
TTL
50%
16-16
100%
2-0
100%
31-0
100%
2-0