AI Model Win Probability
UTES
100%
REBELS
0%
UTES
--
REBELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ole Miss)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MISS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)
UTAH By 1-7 points
24.3%
UTAH By 8-14 points
13.7%
MISS By 1-7 points
26.2%
MISS By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
38
UTAH
Ole Miss
39
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
Utah
71
UTAH
Ole Miss
76
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rebels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rebels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rebels (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Rebels (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
UTAH @ MISS
75 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+20.6% more
Ole Miss: 5.6
vs
Utah: 4.7
Steals (L5)
+16.7% more
Ole Miss: 6.3
vs
Utah: 5.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.8%
Ole Miss: 76.8%
vs
Utah: 72.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Ole Miss: 35.8%
vs
Utah: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
38.0
75
MISS Score
39.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 33.3
29.0 / 53.0
Assists
13.9 / 13.8
15.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.6 / 4.7
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 45.0
50.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 72.0
82.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 38.2
30.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.4
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 13.3
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
Advantage
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
MISS
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
MISS
--
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
MISS
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
UTAH
MISS
UTAH
ML
48%
16-17
56%
18-14
52%
17-16
67%
20-10
ATS
61%
20-13
56%
18-14
52%
17-16
67%
20-10
TTL
64%
21-12
41%
13-19
100%
33-0
100%
30-0