HOLY CROSS COLLEGE (IN)
SAINTSHCC
0-0 | Road
59
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
MASTODONSPFW
4-5 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
100%
MASTODONS
0%
SAINTS
--
MASTODONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Purdue Fort Wayne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PFW -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PFW)
HCC By 1-7 points
0.0%
HCC By 8-14 points
0.0%
PFW By 1-7 points
0.0%
PFW By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross College (IN)
44
HOLY CROSS COLLEGE (IN)
Purdue Fort Wayne
94
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Simulated Score
Holy Cross College (IN)
58
HOLY CROSS COLLEGE (IN)
Purdue Fort Wayne
92
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mastodons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Mastodons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
HCC @ PFW
59 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+277.0% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 3.8
vs
Holy Cross College (IN): 1.0
Assists (L5)
+208.8% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 15.4
vs
Holy Cross College (IN): 5.0
Steals (L5)
+82.2% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 10.9
vs
Holy Cross College (IN): 6.0
Rebounding (L5)
+50.0% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 28.5
vs
Holy Cross College (IN): 19.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCC Score
44.0
59
PFW Score
94.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 28.0
43.0 / 17.0
Assists
15.4 / 5.0
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.8 / 1.0
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 22.0
55.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 63.0
83.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
28.5 / 19.0
41.0 / 35.0
Steals
10.9 / 6.0
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 19.0
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCC
--
PFW
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCC
--
PFW
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HCC
--
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PFW
HCC
PFW
HCC
ML
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
20-12
100%
1-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
