Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Wildcats JVCU @ ACU

JARVIS CHRISTIAN

BULLDOGSJVCU

0-0  |  Road

55
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 4:00 PM ET
Moody Coliseum (Abilene)
View Odds Details →

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

5-3  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
BULLDOGS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Abilene Christian)
BulldogsJVCU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsACU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

0.0%

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ACU -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ACU)

JVCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

JVCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

ACU By 1-7 points

0.0%

ACU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
45
JARVIS CHRISTIAN
90
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
51
JARVIS CHRISTIAN
92
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 JVCU @ ACU 55 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +70.0% more
Abilene Christian: 13.4 vs Jarvis Christian: 7.9
Blocks (L5) +67.8% more
Abilene Christian: 3.4 vs Jarvis Christian: 2.1
Steals (L5) +47.3% more
Abilene Christian: 10.8 vs Jarvis Christian: 7.4
Rebounding (L5) +20.5% more
Abilene Christian: 36.3 vs Jarvis Christian: 30.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JVCU Score 45.0 55
ACU Score 90.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.8 / 27.1 30.0 / 36.0
Assists 13.4 / 7.9 17.0 / 4.0
Blocks 3.4 / 2.1 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 38.9 / 33.9 52.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 58.3 / 71.5 70.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 30.2 46.0 / 24.0
Steals 10.8 / 7.4 17.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 16.5 / 19.9 16.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JVCU
--
ACU Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JVCU
--
ACU Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
JVCU
--
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ACU
JVCU
ACU
JVCU
ML
67% 22-11
50% 1-1
70% 23-10
100% 2-0
ATS
55% 18-15
50% 1-1
70% 23-10
100% 2-0
TTL
58% 19-14
50% 1-1
100% 33-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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