AI Model Win Probability
RAVENS
100%
RAMS
0%
RAVENS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
185.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
FPU By 1-7 points
9.3%
FPU By 8-14 points
2.7%
FOR By 1-7 points
21.6%
FOR By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Franklin Pierce
87
FRANKLIN PIERCE
Fordham
98
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
Franklin Pierce
51
FRANKLIN PIERCE
Fordham
88
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 185.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
FPU @ FOR
72 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+83.7% more
Fordham: 18.4
vs
Franklin Pierce: 10.0
Rebounding (L5)
+50.5% more
Fordham: 45.1
vs
Franklin Pierce: 30.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+22.1%
Fordham: 66.1%
vs
Franklin Pierce: 44.0%
Blocks (L5)
+10.0% more
Fordham: 3.3
vs
Franklin Pierce: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FPU Score
87.0
72
FOR Score
98.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.4 / 43.0
41.0 / 40.0
Assists
18.4 / 10.0
20.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.0
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 36.0
45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
66.1 / 44.0
44.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
45.1 / 30.0
35.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.7 / 13.0
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 13.0
13.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FPU
--
FOR
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FPU
--
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FPU
--
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
FPU
FOR
FPU
ML
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
ATS
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0