FRANCISCAN UNIVERSITY
BARONSFRN
0-0 | Road
60
SAINT FRANCIS
RED FLASHSFPA
1-6 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
BARONS
100%
RED FLASH
0%
BARONS
--
RED FLASH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
SAINT FRANCIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Saint Francis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SFPA -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SFPA)
FRN By 1-7 points
0.0%
FRN By 8-14 points
0.0%
SFPA By 1-7 points
0.0%
SFPA By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Franciscan University
54
FRANCISCAN UNIVERSITY
Saint Francis
98
SAINT FRANCIS
Simulated Score
Franciscan University
52
FRANCISCAN UNIVERSITY
Saint Francis
88
SAINT FRANCIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Flash
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Flash
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Flash (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Red Flash (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
FRN @ SFPA
60 - 85
Dec 19, 2024
FRN @ SFPA
47 - 104
Nov 22, 2023
FRN @ SFPA
54 - 107
Nov 23, 2022
FRN @ SFPA
53 - 120
Nov 15, 2021
FRN @ SFPA
54 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+101.4% more
Saint Francis: 8.4
vs
Franciscan University: 4.2
Blocks (L5)
+34.3% more
Saint Francis: 1.8
vs
Franciscan University: 1.4
Rebounding (L5)
+20.9% more
Saint Francis: 31.9
vs
Franciscan University: 26.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.5%
Saint Francis: 72.9%
vs
Franciscan University: 56.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FRN Score
54.0
60
SFPA Score
98.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 24.9
28.0 / 29.0
Assists
9.7 / 9.8
20.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.8 / 1.4
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.8 / 31.5
53.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 56.4
71.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 26.4
55.0 / 27.0
Steals
8.4 / 4.2
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
17.7 / 17.3
19.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FRN
--
SFPA
Advantage
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FRN
--
SFPA
Advantage
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
FRN
--
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SFPA
FRN
SFPA
FRN
ML
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
ATS
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
67%
20-10
100%
1-0
TTL
58%
18-13
0%
0-1
100%
30-0
100%
1-0