Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Thorobreds @ Screaming Eagles KYSU @ USI

KENTUCKY STATE

THOROBREDSKYSU

0-0  |  Road

56
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 4:00 PM ET
Liberty Arena (IN)
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

3-5  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
THOROBREDS
0%
📊
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
THOROBREDS --
SCREAMING EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ThorobredsKYSU (-3.5) 0 Screaming EaglesUSI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Thorobreds Cover

46.0%

Screaming Eagles Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around USI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USI)

KYSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

KYSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

USI By 1-7 points

24.3%

USI By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
85
KENTUCKY STATE
84
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Simulated Score
65
KENTUCKY STATE
78
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Thorobreds Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Screaming Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Screaming Eagles (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Screaming Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 KYSU @ USI 56 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +28.8% more
Kentucky State: 7.6 vs Southern Indiana: 5.4
Turnovers (L5) +28.3% more
Kentucky State: 19.5 vs Southern Indiana: 14.0
Free Throw % (L5) +7.7%
Kentucky State: 67.6% vs Southern Indiana: 59.9%
Assists (L5) +35.8% more
Southern Indiana: 12.1 vs Kentucky State: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KYSU Score 85.0 56
USI Score 84.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 29.7 32.0 / 22.0
Assists 12.1 / 8.9 22.0 / 6.0
Blocks 5.2 / 5.0 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.3 / 33.0 45.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 59.9 / 67.6 60.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 40.4 / 38.1 58.0 / 38.0
Steals 5.4 / 7.6 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 19.5 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KYSU
--
USI Advantage
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KYSU
--
USI Advantage
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
KYSU
--
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USI
KYSU
USI
KYSU
ML
67% 20-10
0% 0-1
61% 17-11
100% 1-0
ATS
70% 21-9
100% 1-0
61% 17-11
100% 1-0
TTL
73% 22-8
100% 1-0
100% 28-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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