KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
1-6 | Road
61
WEBER STATE
WILDCATSWEB
3-4 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
ROOS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Weber State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WEB -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)
KC By 1-7 points
13.7%
KC By 8-14 points
4.8%
WEB By 1-7 points
25.3%
WEB By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
66
KANSAS CITY
Weber State
74
WEBER STATE
Simulated Score
Kansas City
68
KANSAS CITY
Weber State
72
WEBER STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
WEB @ KC
64 - 60
Nov 29, 2025
KC @ WEB
61 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Weber State: 46.3%
vs
Kansas City: 37.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Weber State: 30.4%
vs
Kansas City: 23.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.0%
Weber State: 76.2%
vs
Kansas City: 71.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+22.9% more
Kansas City: 15.4
vs
Weber State: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
66.0
61
WEB Score
74.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 23.6
43.0 / 30.0
Assists
12.6 / 12.4
18.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.4
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 37.6
53.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 71.2
70.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 34.4
41.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.2
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 15.4
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
WEB
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
WEB
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WEB
KC
WEB
KC
ML
73%
22-8
63%
19-11
73%
22-8
67%
20-10
ATS
63%
19-11
67%
20-10
74%
23-8
67%
20-10
TTL
83%
25-5
70%
21-9
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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