Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Griffins @ Hawks GWYD @ UMES

GWYNEDD-MERCY

GRIFFINSGWYD

0-0  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 4:00 PM ET
Hytche Center
View Odds Details →

MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

HAWKSUMES

4-6  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
GRIFFINS
100%
📊
HAWKS
0%
GRIFFINS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Maryland Eastern Shore)
GriffinsGWYD (-3.5) 0 HawksUMES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Griffins Cover

0.0%

Hawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UMES -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UMES)

GWYD By 1-7 points

0.0%

GWYD By 8-14 points

0.0%

UMES By 1-7 points

0.0%

UMES By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
53
GWYNEDD-MERCY
94
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Simulated Score
51
GWYNEDD-MERCY
92
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawks (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 GWYD @ UMES 60 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.3% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 33.6 vs Gwynedd-Mercy: 29.1
Steals (L5) +14.2% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 5.3 vs Gwynedd-Mercy: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5) +12.3%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 64.7% vs Gwynedd-Mercy: 52.4%
Blocks (L5) +9.4% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.5 vs Gwynedd-Mercy: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWYD Score 53.0 60
UMES Score 94.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 24.0 35.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.7 / 11.9 22.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.2 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 37.1 55.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 64.7 / 52.4 100.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 29.1 48.0 / 23.0
Steals 5.3 / 4.7 4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 13.3 17.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWYD
--
UMES Advantage
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWYD
--
UMES Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GWYD
--
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UMES
GWYD
UMES
GWYD
ML
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
81% 21-5
100% 1-0
ATS
69% 22-10
100% 1-0
81% 21-5
100% 1-0
TTL
66% 21-11
0% 0-1
100% 26-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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