AI Model Win Probability
RED DRAGONS
100%
RAIDERS
0%
RED DRAGONS
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Colgate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
SUNO By 1-7 points
3.3%
SUNO By 8-14 points
0.6%
COLG By 1-7 points
12.2%
COLG By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
SUNY-Oneonta
59
SUNY-ONEONTA
Colgate
76
COLGATE
Simulated Score
SUNY-Oneonta
52
SUNY-ONEONTA
Colgate
85
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
SUNO @ COLG
50 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+53.0% more
Colgate: 14.4
vs
SUNY-Oneonta: 9.4
Steals (L5)
+44.4% more
Colgate: 7.9
vs
SUNY-Oneonta: 5.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Colgate: 32.9%
vs
SUNY-Oneonta: 24.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Colgate: 48.6%
vs
SUNY-Oneonta: 41.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SUNO Score
59.0
50
COLG Score
76.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 24.3
50.0 / 21.0
Assists
14.4 / 9.4
13.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.5
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 41.4
61.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
63.8 / 59.7
83.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 33.9
42.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.9 / 5.5
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 14.5
11.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SUNO
--
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SUNO
--
COLG
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SUNO
--
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
SUNO
COLG
SUNO
ML
59%
19-13
50%
1-1
69%
22-10
100%
2-0
ATS
72%
23-9
50%
1-1
70%
23-10
100%
2-0
TTL
78%
25-7
50%
1-1
100%
33-0
100%
2-0