Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Nittany Lions @ Golden Flashes PEN @ KENT

PENN STATE-SHENANGO

NITTANY LIONSPEN

0-0  |  Road

59
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 7:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

7-1  |  Home

123
AI Model Win Probability
NITTANY LIONS
100%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
0%
NITTANY LIONS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-101.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +101.0 points (Kent State)
Nittany LionsPEN (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nittany Lions Cover

0.0%

Golden Flashes Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENT -101.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

PEN By 1-7 points

0.0%

PEN By 8-14 points

0.0%

KENT By 1-7 points

0.0%

KENT By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
46
PENN STATE-SHENANGO
147
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
48
PENN STATE-SHENANGO
92
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -101.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 PEN @ KENT 59 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +96.5% more
Kent State: 3.9 vs Penn State-Shenango: 2.0
Assists (L5) +79.4% more
Kent State: 17.9 vs Penn State-Shenango: 10.0
Steals (L5) +47.1% more
Kent State: 8.0 vs Penn State-Shenango: 5.4
Rebounding (L5) +30.6% more
Kent State: 40.2 vs Penn State-Shenango: 30.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PEN Score 46.0 59
KENT Score 147.0 123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 22.6 44.0 / 26.0
Assists 17.9 / 10.0 36.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.0 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 30.6 58.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 97.8 45.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 30.8 57.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.0 / 5.4 13.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 12.7 6.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PEN
--
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PEN
--
KENT Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PEN
--
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
PEN
KENT
PEN
ML
53% 18-16
100% 3-0
65% 22-12
100% 3-0
ATS
65% 22-12
100% 3-0
65% 22-12
100% 3-0
TTL
44% 15-19
100% 3-0
100% 34-0
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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