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MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN

EVANGELSMIDACU

0-0  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Baxter Arena
View Odds Details →

OMAHA

MAVERICKSOMA

3-6  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
EVANGELS
100%
📊
MAVERICKS
0%
EVANGELS --
MAVERICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
OMAHA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Omaha)
EvangelsMIDACU (-3.5) 0 MavericksOMA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Evangels Cover

0.8%

Mavericks Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OMA -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OMA)

MIDACU By 1-7 points

0.6%

MIDACU By 8-14 points

0.1%

OMA By 1-7 points

4.0%

OMA By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
67
MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN
91
OMAHA
Simulated Score
58
MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN
92
OMAHA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mavericks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mavericks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mavericks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Mavericks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 MIDACU @ OMA 62 - 84
Nov 4, 2024 MIDACU @ OMA 69 - 85
Nov 22, 2023 MIDACU @ OMA 59 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +146.9% more
Omaha: 3.2 vs Mid-America Christian: 1.3
Assists (L5) +40.9% more
Omaha: 13.7 vs Mid-America Christian: 9.7
Rebounding (L5) +26.3% more
Omaha: 35.8 vs Mid-America Christian: 28.3
Free Throw % (L5) +4.5%
Omaha: 70.0% vs Mid-America Christian: 65.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIDACU Score 67.0 62
OMA Score 91.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 33.1 52.0 / 35.0
Assists 13.7 / 9.7 21.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.2 / 1.3 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 41.0 58.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 70.0 / 65.5 77.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 28.3 36.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.0 / 8.5 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 15.1 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIDACU
--
OMA Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIDACU
--
OMA Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIDACU
--
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OMA
MIDACU
OMA
MIDACU
ML
79% 26-7
100% 1-0
67% 22-11
100% 1-0
ATS
76% 25-8
100% 1-0
67% 22-11
100% 1-0
TTL
73% 24-9
100% 1-0
100% 33-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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