AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
TOMMIES
100%
VIKINGS
--
TOMMIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LAWRENCE UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Lawrence University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAW -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAW)
LAW By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAW By 8-14 points
27.4%
STMN By 1-7 points
9.3%
STMN By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Lawrence University
57
LAWRENCE UNIVERSITY
St. Thomas-Minnesota
46
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Lawrence University
55
LAWRENCE UNIVERSITY
St. Thomas-Minnesota
92
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Vikings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tommies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Vikings (+9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Tommies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
LAW @ STMN
52 - 87
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAW Score
57.0
52
STMN Score
46.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 0.0
31.0 / 23.0
Assists
15.3 / 0.0
27.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.3 / 0.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 0.0
48.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 0.0
71.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
29.7 / 0.0
42.0 / 43.0
Steals
9.0 / 0.0
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 0.0
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAW
--
STMN
Advantage
24-10-0
(70.6%)
Margin: 10.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAW
--
STMN
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAW
--
STMN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STMN
LAW
STMN
LAW
ML
64%
21-12
0%
0-1
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
ATS
70%
23-10
0%
0-1
64%
21-12
100%
1-0
TTL
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0