Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / REGIS UNIVERSITY @ Bears REGU @ UNCO

REGIS (CO)

REGIS UNIVERSITYREGU

0-0  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Bank of Colorado Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN COLORADO

BEARSUNCO

7-1  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
REGIS UNIVERSITY
100%
📊
BEARS
0%
REGIS UNIVERSITY --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
NORTHERN COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Northern Colorado)
REGIS UNIVERSITYREGU (-3.5) 0 BearsUNCO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

REGIS UNIVERSITY Cover

1.1%

Bears Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCO -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCO)

REGU By 1-7 points

0.8%

REGU By 8-14 points

0.1%

UNCO By 1-7 points

4.8%

UNCO By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
57
REGIS (CO)
80
NORTHERN COLORADO
Simulated Score
63
REGIS (CO)
87
NORTHERN COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bears (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 REGU @ UNCO 63 - 104
Dec 11, 2020 REGU @ UNCO 58 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +72.0% more
Northern Colorado: 17.4 vs Regis (CO): 10.1
Rebounding (L5) +13.4% more
Northern Colorado: 36.0 vs Regis (CO): 31.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.1%
Northern Colorado: 35.5% vs Regis (CO): 22.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +11.9%
Northern Colorado: 49.2% vs Regis (CO): 37.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
REGU Score 57.0 63
UNCO Score 80.0 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 22.4 51.0 / 20.0
Assists 17.4 / 10.1 24.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.7 / 2.1 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 37.3 56.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 75.9 / 64.2 100.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 36.0 / 31.8 39.0 / 31.0
Steals 4.0 / 7.0 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 11.4 8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
REGU
--
UNCO Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
REGU
--
UNCO Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
REGU
--
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCO
REGU
UNCO
REGU
ML
50% 16-16
100% 1-0
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
ATS
53% 17-15
100% 1-0
66% 21-11
100% 1-0
TTL
50% 16-16
0% 0-1
100% 32-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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