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JOHNSON & WALES (RI)

GRIFFINSJOHNS

0-0  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 1:00 PM ET
Detrick Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT

BLUE DEVILSCCSU

5-2  |  Home

122
AI Model Win Probability
GRIFFINS
100%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
0%
GRIFFINS --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Central Connecticut)
GriffinsJOHNS (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsCCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Griffins Cover

15.9%

Blue Devils Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CCSU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)

JOHNS By 1-7 points

10.7%

JOHNS By 8-14 points

3.3%

CCSU By 1-7 points

23.0%

CCSU By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
80
JOHNSON & WALES (RI)
90
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Simulated Score
54
JOHNSON & WALES (RI)
88
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 JOHNS @ CCSU 57 - 122
Dec 29, 2024 JOHNS @ CCSU 51 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +158.5% more
Central Connecticut: 16.6 vs Johnson & Wales (RI): 6.4
Blocks (L5) +52.1% more
Central Connecticut: 5.4 vs Johnson & Wales (RI): 3.6
Rebounding (L5) +37.2% more
Central Connecticut: 36.3 vs Johnson & Wales (RI): 26.4
Free Throw % (L5) +19.9%
Central Connecticut: 72.0% vs Johnson & Wales (RI): 52.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JOHNS Score 80.0 57
CCSU Score 90.0 122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.4 / 29.8 59.0 / 26.0
Assists 16.6 / 6.4 27.0 / 17.0
Blocks 5.4 / 3.6 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 35.3 70.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 52.2 82.0 / 0.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 26.4 47.0 / 20.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.1 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 16.1 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOHNS
--
CCSU Advantage
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOHNS
--
CCSU Advantage
14-13-1 (51.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
JOHNS
--
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCSU
JOHNS
CCSU
JOHNS
ML
57% 17-13
100% 2-0
57% 17-13
100% 2-0
ATS
63% 19-11
100% 2-0
57% 17-13
100% 2-0
TTL
60% 18-12
50% 1-1
100% 30-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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