AI Model Win Probability
RED DRAGONS
0%
GREAT DANES
100%
RED DRAGONS
--
GREAT DANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
SUNY-ONEONTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (SUNY-Oneonta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SUNO -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SUNO)
SUNO By 1-7 points
0.8%
SUNO By 8-14 points
4.0%
UALB By 1-7 points
0.1%
UALB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
SUNY-Oneonta
74
SUNY-ONEONTA
UAlbany
43
UALBANY
Simulated Score
SUNY-Oneonta
51
SUNY-ONEONTA
UAlbany
84
UALBANY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Dragons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Great Danes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Dragons (+11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Great Danes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
SUNO @ UALB
62 - 90
Nov 9, 2024
SUNO @ UALB
69 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+9.1% more
SUNY-Oneonta: 3.0
vs
UAlbany: 2.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.3%
SUNY-Oneonta: 63.1%
vs
UAlbany: 60.9%
Assists (L5)
+68.9% more
UAlbany: 14.5
vs
SUNY-Oneonta: 8.6
Steals (L5)
+49.7% more
UAlbany: 8.9
vs
SUNY-Oneonta: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SUNO Score
74.0
62
UALB Score
43.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 23.2
36.0 / 28.0
Assists
14.5 / 8.6
17.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.0
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 37.9
49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
60.9 / 63.1
67.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 31.6
57.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.9 / 6.0
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 11.4
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SUNO
--
UALB
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SUNO
--
UALB
Advantage
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SUNO
--
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UALB
SUNO
UALB
SUNO
ML
55%
17-14
50%
1-1
71%
22-9
100%
2-0
ATS
77%
24-7
50%
1-1
72%
23-9
100%
2-0
TTL
61%
19-12
50%
1-1
100%
32-0
100%
2-0