MITCHELL COLLEGE
MARINERSMITC
0-0 | Road
69
NEW HAVEN
CHARGERSNHVN
5-4 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
CHARGERS
0%
MARINERS
--
CHARGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
NEW HAVEN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (New Haven)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NHVN -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NHVN)
MITC By 1-7 points
0.0%
MITC By 8-14 points
0.0%
NHVN By 1-7 points
0.2%
NHVN By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Mitchell College
41
MITCHELL COLLEGE
New Haven
77
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
Mitchell College
63
MITCHELL COLLEGE
New Haven
79
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Chargers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chargers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Chargers (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Chargers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
MITC @ NHVN
69 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+289.5% more
New Haven: 15.6
vs
Mitchell College: 4.0
Rebounding (L5)
+61.7% more
New Haven: 38.8
vs
Mitchell College: 24.0
Steals (L5)
+37.7% more
New Haven: 9.6
vs
Mitchell College: 7.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.5%
New Haven: 46.5%
vs
Mitchell College: 33.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MITC Score
41.0
69
NHVN Score
77.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 24.0
35.0 / 41.0
Assists
15.6 / 4.0
24.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.0
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 33.0
56.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
59.3 / 67.0
67.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
38.8 / 24.0
42.0 / 28.0
Steals
9.6 / 7.0
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 17.0
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MITC
--
NHVN
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MITC
--
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MITC
--
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
MITC
NHVN
MITC
ML
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
ATS
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
TTL
42%
13-18
0%
0-1
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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