Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Jaguars LCHR @ SOU

LOUISIANA CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSLCHR

0-0  |  Road

48
FINAL
Mon, Dec 1 • 12:00 PM ET
F.G. Clark Activity Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN

JAGUARSSOU

4-4  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
JAGUARS
100%
WILDCATS --
JAGUARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
LOUISIANA CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Louisiana Christian)
WildcatsLCHR (-3.5) 0 JaguarsSOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

Jaguars Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LCHR -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LCHR)

LCHR By 1-7 points

0.0%

LCHR By 8-14 points

0.1%

SOU By 1-7 points

0.0%

SOU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
100
LOUISIANA CHRISTIAN
53
SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
59
LOUISIANA CHRISTIAN
88
SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jaguars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (+16.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim Jaguars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2025 LCHR @ SOU 48 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +9.1% more
Louisiana Christian: 15.6 vs Southern: 14.2
Free Throw % (L5) +1.9%
Louisiana Christian: 68.5% vs Southern: 66.6%
Assists (L5) +85.9% more
Southern: 16.9 vs Louisiana Christian: 9.1
Steals (L5) +67.4% more
Southern: 10.5 vs Louisiana Christian: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LCHR Score 100.0 48
SOU Score 53.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.1 / 16.1 26.0 / 17.0
Assists 16.9 / 9.1 23.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.0 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 32.4 58.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 68.5 72.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 31.4 45.0 / 29.0
Steals 10.5 / 6.3 17.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 15.6 11.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LCHR
--
SOU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LCHR
--
SOU Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LCHR
--
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SOU
LCHR
SOU
LCHR
ML
67% 22-11
0% 0-1
70% 21-9
100% 1-0
ATS
64% 21-12
0% 0-1
70% 21-9
100% 1-0
TTL
42% 14-19
100% 1-0
100% 30-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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