Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Marauders @ Rockets CSO @ TOL

CENTRAL STATE (OH)

MARAUDERSCSO

0-0  |  Road

58
FINAL
Mon, Dec 1 • 6:30 PM ET
Savage Arena
View Odds Details →

TOLEDO

ROCKETSTOL

5-3  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
MARAUDERS
0%
📊
ROCKETS
100%
MARAUDERS --
ROCKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
CENTRAL STATE (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Central State (OH))
MaraudersCSO (-3.5) 0 RocketsTOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Marauders Cover

99.7%

Rockets Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CSO -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSO)

CSO By 1-7 points

2.2%

CSO By 8-14 points

8.0%

TOL By 1-7 points

0.3%

TOL By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
105
CENTRAL STATE (OH)
78
TOLEDO
Simulated Score
58
CENTRAL STATE (OH)
92
TOLEDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Marauders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Marauders (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Rockets (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2025 CSO @ TOL 58 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +29.8% more
Central State (OH): 17.1 vs Toledo: 12.0
Rebounding (L5) +9.2% more
Central State (OH): 33.1 vs Toledo: 30.1
Free Throw % (L5) +3.9%
Central State (OH): 78.7% vs Toledo: 74.8%
Assists (L5) +91.6% more
Toledo: 15.3 vs Central State (OH): 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSO Score 105.0 58
TOL Score 78.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 31.1 28.0 / 25.0
Assists 15.3 / 8.0 23.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.0 / 1.8 8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 37.3 51.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 78.7 85.0 / 25.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 33.1 56.0 / 22.0
Steals 9.0 / 7.1 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 17.1 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSO
--
TOL Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSO
--
TOL Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CSO
--
TOL
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOL
CSO
TOL
CSO
ML
48% 16-17
50% 1-1
61% 20-13
100% 2-0
ATS
48% 16-17
50% 1-1
61% 20-13
100% 2-0
TTL
64% 21-12
100% 2-0
100% 33-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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