AI Model Win Probability
BUILDERS
0%
PIRATES
100%
BUILDERS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-59.0
APPRENTICE SCHOOL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +59.0 points (Apprentice School)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around APPRE -59.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (APPRE)
APPRE By 1-7 points
0.0%
APPRE By 8-14 points
0.0%
HAMP By 1-7 points
0.0%
HAMP By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Apprentice School
99
APPRENTICE SCHOOL
Hampton
40
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
Apprentice School
55
APPRENTICE SCHOOL
Hampton
92
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Builders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Builders (+16.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -59.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 1, 2025
APPRE @ HAMP
58 - 94
Dec 10, 2024
APPRE @ HAMP
68 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+36.5% more
Apprentice School: 16.9
vs
Hampton: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+26.6% more
Apprentice School: 7.6
vs
Hampton: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Apprentice School: 11.7
vs
Hampton: 9.8
Blocks (L5)
+68.7% more
Hampton: 3.4
vs
Apprentice School: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
APPRE Score
99.0
58
HAMP Score
40.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 29.3
25.0 / 40.0
Assists
9.8 / 11.7
20.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.0
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 34.9
48.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
66.1 / 60.7
50.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 27.0
51.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.6
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 16.9
9.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
APPRE
--
HAMP
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
APPRE
--
HAMP
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
APPRE
--
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
APPRE
HAMP
APPRE
ML
53%
17-15
0%
0-1
75%
24-8
100%
1-0
ATS
50%
16-16
0%
0-1
75%
24-8
100%
1-0
TTL
68%
21-10-1
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0