AI Model Win Probability
KOHAWKS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
KOHAWKS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-65.0
COE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +65.0 points (Coe)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COE -65.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COE)
COE By 1-7 points
0.0%
COE By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNI By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNI By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Coe
102
COE
Northern Iowa
37
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
Coe
52
COE
Northern Iowa
95
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kohawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kohawks (+16.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -65.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 1, 2025
COE @ UNI
34 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+47.1% more
Coe: 15.6
vs
Northern Iowa: 8.2
Blocks (L5)
+49.4% more
Northern Iowa: 2.7
vs
Coe: 1.8
Assists (L5)
+41.6% more
Northern Iowa: 16.2
vs
Coe: 11.4
Rebounding (L5)
+17.3% more
Northern Iowa: 33.5
vs
Coe: 28.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COE Score
102.0
34
UNI Score
37.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 33.9
48.0 / 19.0
Assists
16.2 / 11.4
24.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.7 / 1.8
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 41.9
61.0 / 23.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 57.1
77.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 28.6
41.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.1
15.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
8.2 / 15.6
10.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COE
--
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COE
--
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
COE
--
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
COE
UNI
COE
ML
51%
18-17
50%
1-1
56%
19-15
100%
2-0
ATS
49%
17-18
50%
1-1
56%
19-15
100%
2-0
TTL
69%
24-11
50%
1-1
100%
34-0
100%
2-0