Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Thunderbirds WCB @ SUU

WEST COAST BAPTIST

EAGLESWCB

0-0  |  Road

59
FINAL
Mon, Dec 1 • 8:30 PM ET
America First Events Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN UTAH

THUNDERBIRDSSUU

4-6  |  Home

124
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
50%
📊
THUNDERBIRDS
50%
EAGLES --
THUNDERBIRDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SOUTHERN UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Southern Utah)
EaglesWCB (-3.5) 0 ThunderbirdsSUU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

46.0%

Thunderbirds Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SUU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SUU)

WCB By 1-7 points

24.3%

WCB By 8-14 points

13.7%

SUU By 1-7 points

26.2%

SUU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
WEST COAST BAPTIST
39
SOUTHERN UTAH
Simulated Score
48
WEST COAST BAPTIST
98
SOUTHERN UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Thunderbirds (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI 77
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim o157.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2025 WCB @ SUU 59 - 124
Dec 6, 2022 WCB @ SUU 49 - 120
Nov 29, 2019 WCB @ SUU 40 - 126
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +386.0% more
Southern Utah: 4.2 vs West Coast Baptist: 0.4
Assists (L5) +99.3% more
Southern Utah: 12.1 vs West Coast Baptist: 6.1
Steals (L5) +59.0% more
Southern Utah: 5.0 vs West Coast Baptist: 3.2
Rebounding (L5) +33.9% more
Southern Utah: 32.7 vs West Coast Baptist: 24.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WCB Score 38.0 59
SUU Score 39.0 124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.7 / 18.8 44.0 / 18.0
Assists 12.1 / 6.1 32.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.2 / 0.4 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 23.1 54.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 60.8 78.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 24.4 57.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.0 / 3.2 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 17.9 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCB
--
SUU Advantage
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCB
--
SUU Advantage
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WCB
--
SUU
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SUU
WCB
SUU
WCB
ML
61% 19-12
-- 0-0
68% 21-10
-- 0-0
ATS
71% 22-9
-- 0-0
69% 22-10
100% 3-0
TTL
52% 16-15
-- 0-0
100% 32-0
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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