Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Lobos NMHU @ UNM

NEW MEXICO HIGHLANDS

COWBOYSNMHU

0-0  |  Road

47
FINAL
Mon, Dec 1 • 9:00 PM ET
The Pit
View Odds Details →

NEW MEXICO

LOBOSUNM

6-2  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
📊
LOBOS
100%
COWBOYS --
LOBOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
NEW MEXICO HIGHLANDS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (New Mexico Highlands)
CowboysNMHU (-3.5) 0 LobosUNM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

100.0%

Lobos Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NMHU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NMHU)

NMHU By 1-7 points

0.5%

NMHU By 8-14 points

2.7%

UNM By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNM By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
102
NEW MEXICO HIGHLANDS
69
NEW MEXICO
Simulated Score
53
NEW MEXICO HIGHLANDS
102
NEW MEXICO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cowboys Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lobos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cowboys (-10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Lobos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -49.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2025 NMHU @ UNM 47 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +46.6% more
New Mexico Highlands: 21.4 vs New Mexico: 11.4
Blocks (L5) +24.0% more
New Mexico Highlands: 2.3 vs New Mexico: 1.8
Steals (L5) +21.0% more
New Mexico Highlands: 8.0 vs New Mexico: 6.3
Assists (L5) +39.6% more
New Mexico: 14.3 vs New Mexico Highlands: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NMHU Score 102.0 47
UNM Score 69.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 29.4 38.0 / 16.0
Assists 14.3 / 10.2 26.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.8 / 2.3 8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 36.0 43.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 71.6 / 65.4 77.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 34.9 / 29.6 50.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.3 / 8.0 12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 21.4 9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NMHU
--
UNM Advantage
26-11-0 (70.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NMHU
--
UNM Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NMHU
--
UNM
23-12-0
O: 65.7% / U: 34.3% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNM
NMHU
UNM
NMHU
ML
57% 21-16
67% 2-1
74% 25-9
100% 3-0
ATS
57% 21-16
67% 2-1
74% 25-9
100% 3-0
TTL
41% 15-22
67% 2-1
100% 34-0
100% 3-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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