Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Privateers @ Bulldogs SM @ YALE

SUNY-MARITIME

PRIVATEERSSM

0-0  |  Road

53
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
John J. Lee Amphitheater
View Odds Details →

YALE

BULLDOGSYALE

8-1  |  Home

117
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
PRIVATEERS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (Yale)
PrivateersSM (-3.5) 0 BulldogsYALE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Privateers Cover

0.0%

Bulldogs Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YALE -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)

SM By 1-7 points

0.0%

SM By 8-14 points

0.0%

YALE By 1-7 points

0.0%

YALE By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
45
SUNY-MARITIME
100
YALE
Simulated Score
43
SUNY-MARITIME
98
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 SM @ YALE 53 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +56.1% more
Yale: 15.1 vs SUNY-Maritime: 9.7
Field Goal % (L5) +22.2%
Yale: 52.4% vs SUNY-Maritime: 30.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +18.9%
Yale: 41.4% vs SUNY-Maritime: 22.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +15.0%
Yale: 80.2% vs SUNY-Maritime: 65.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SM Score 45.0 53
YALE Score 100.0 117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.4 / 22.5 50.0 / 28.0
Assists 15.1 / 9.7 36.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.1 / 3.0 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 52.4 / 30.2 63.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 80.2 / 65.2 92.0 / 33.0
Rebounding 27.8 / 31.9 47.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.4 / 5.8 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 7.1 / 18.5 11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SM
--
YALE Advantage
24-7-0 (77.4%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SM
--
YALE Advantage
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SM
--
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
SM
YALE
SM
ML
48% 15-16
100% 2-0
58% 18-13
100% 2-0
ATS
65% 20-11
100% 2-0
58% 18-13
100% 2-0
TTL
61% 19-12
50% 1-1
100% 31-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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