MOUNT MARTY COLLEGE
LANCERSMTM
0-0 | Road
69
WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
5-4 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
SHOCKERS
0%
LANCERS
--
SHOCKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Wichita State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WICH -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)
MTM By 1-7 points
0.0%
MTM By 8-14 points
0.0%
WICH By 1-7 points
0.0%
WICH By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Mount Marty College
55
MOUNT MARTY COLLEGE
Wichita State
105
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
Mount Marty College
51
MOUNT MARTY COLLEGE
Wichita State
98
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Shockers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Shockers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Shockers (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Shockers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
MTM @ WICH
69 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+41.0% more
Wichita State: 3.4
vs
Mount Marty College: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+27.9% more
Wichita State: 40.3
vs
Mount Marty College: 31.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+19.1%
Wichita State: 72.5%
vs
Mount Marty College: 53.3%
Assists (L5)
+18.1% more
Wichita State: 10.8
vs
Mount Marty College: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTM Score
55.0
69
WICH Score
105.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 27.3
50.0 / 37.0
Assists
10.8 / 9.1
17.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.4
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 35.1
61.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 53.3
81.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 31.5
40.0 / 19.0
Steals
4.5 / 3.9
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 16.8
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MTM
--
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MTM
--
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MTM
--
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
MTM
WICH
MTM
ML
61%
22-14
100%
1-0
68%
23-11
100%
1-0
ATS
64%
23-13
100%
1-0
68%
23-11
100%
1-0
TTL
69%
25-11
100%
1-0
100%
34-0
100%
1-0
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