ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
GOLDEN LIONSUAPB
1-8 | Road
63
UIC
FLAMESUIC
4-4 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN LIONS
0%
FLAMES
100%
GOLDEN LIONS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
92.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UAPB -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAPB)
UAPB By 1-7 points
25.3%
UAPB By 8-14 points
26.2%
UIC By 1-7 points
13.7%
UIC By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
50
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
UIC
42
UIC
Simulated Score
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
65
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
UIC
76
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Lions (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 92.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
UAPB @ UIC
63 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+10.6% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 13.7
vs
UIC: 12.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 76.4%
vs
UIC: 71.2%
Blocks (L5)
+57.5% more
UIC: 4.6
vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+18.7% more
UIC: 8.6
vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAPB Score
50.0
63
UIC Score
42.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 27.8
13.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.2 / 13.7
13.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.9
5.0 / 12.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 39.3
35.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 76.4
73.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 32.1
43.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.6 / 7.2
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 14.0
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAPB
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAPB
Advantage
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
UAPB
UIC
UAPB
ML
57%
20-15
74%
23-8
44%
15-19
73%
19-7
ATS
54%
19-16
73%
22-8-1
44%
15-19
73%
19-7
TTL
60%
21-14
68%
21-10
100%
34-0
100%
26-0
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