AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
BONNIES
0%
HUSKIES
--
BONNIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
ST. BONAVENTURE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (St. Bonaventure)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SBU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SBU)
BBU By 1-7 points
8.0%
BBU By 8-14 points
2.2%
SBU By 1-7 points
20.1%
SBU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Bloomsburg
56
BLOOMSBURG
St. Bonaventure
68
ST. BONAVENTURE
Simulated Score
Bloomsburg
57
BLOOMSBURG
St. Bonaventure
88
ST. BONAVENTURE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bonnies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bonnies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
BBU @ SBU
43 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+66.3% more
St. Bonaventure: 5.0
vs
Bloomsburg: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+39.1% more
St. Bonaventure: 13.9
vs
Bloomsburg: 10.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+22.6%
St. Bonaventure: 38.6%
vs
Bloomsburg: 16.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+15.0%
St. Bonaventure: 47.0%
vs
Bloomsburg: 32.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BBU Score
56.0
43
SBU Score
68.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 16.0
38.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.9 / 10.0
25.0 / 9.0
Blocks
5.0 / 3.0
11.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 32.0
52.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
71.8 / 87.0
62.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 32.0
41.0 / 28.0
Steals
7.7 / 8.0
11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 17.0
10.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BBU
--
SBU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BBU
--
SBU
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BBU
--
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SBU
BBU
SBU
BBU
ML
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
ATS
50%
17-17
100%
1-0
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
TTL
38%
13-21
100%
1-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0