AI Model Win Probability
FALCONS
100%
LANCERS
0%
FALCONS
--
LANCERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
LONGWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Longwood)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LONG -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LONG)
PFEI By 1-7 points
0.2%
PFEI By 8-14 points
0.0%
LONG By 1-7 points
1.7%
LONG By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Pfeiffer
57
PFEIFFER
Longwood
85
LONGWOOD
Simulated Score
Pfeiffer
48
PFEIFFER
Longwood
102
LONGWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lancers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lancers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lancers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Lancers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
PFEI @ LONG
55 - 101
Nov 13, 2022
PFEI @ LONG
68 - 100
Jan 5, 2022
PFEI @ LONG
69 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+69.6% more
Longwood: 7.3
vs
Pfeiffer: 4.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.5%
Longwood: 73.7%
vs
Pfeiffer: 56.2%
Rebounding (L5)
+17.4% more
Longwood: 34.5
vs
Pfeiffer: 29.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Longwood: 40.9%
vs
Pfeiffer: 35.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PFEI Score
57.0
55
LONG Score
85.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.2 / 31.1
38.0 / 20.0
Assists
9.6 / 11.0
21.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.2 / 2.4
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 35.0
66.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 56.2
86.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 29.4
42.0 / 25.0
Steals
7.3 / 4.3
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 19.0
13.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PFEI
--
LONG
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PFEI
--
LONG
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PFEI
--
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LONG
PFEI
LONG
PFEI
ML
65%
20-11
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
ATS
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
TTL
65%
20-11
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0