PFEIFFER

FALCONSPFEI

0-0  |  Road

55
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Joan Perry Brock Center
View Odds Details →

LONGWOOD

LANCERSLONG

5-5  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
FALCONS
100%
📊
LANCERS
0%
FALCONS --
LANCERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
LONGWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Longwood)
FalconsPFEI (-3.5) 0 LancersLONG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Falcons Cover

0.3%

Lancers Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LONG -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LONG)

PFEI By 1-7 points

0.2%

PFEI By 8-14 points

0.0%

LONG By 1-7 points

1.7%

LONG By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
57
PFEIFFER
85
LONGWOOD
Simulated Score
48
PFEIFFER
102
LONGWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lancers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lancers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lancers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Lancers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 PFEI @ LONG 55 - 101
Nov 13, 2022 PFEI @ LONG 68 - 100
Jan 5, 2022 PFEI @ LONG 69 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +69.6% more
Longwood: 7.3 vs Pfeiffer: 4.3
Free Throw % (L5) +17.5%
Longwood: 73.7% vs Pfeiffer: 56.2%
Rebounding (L5) +17.4% more
Longwood: 34.5 vs Pfeiffer: 29.4
Field Goal % (L5) +5.8%
Longwood: 40.9% vs Pfeiffer: 35.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PFEI Score 57.0 55
LONG Score 85.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.2 / 31.1 38.0 / 20.0
Assists 9.6 / 11.0 21.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.2 / 2.4 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.9 / 35.0 66.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 56.2 86.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 29.4 42.0 / 25.0
Steals 7.3 / 4.3 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 19.0 13.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PFEI
--
LONG Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PFEI
--
LONG Advantage
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PFEI
--
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.7