AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
50%
BUCCANEERS
50%
OWLS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
WARWIL By 1-7 points
13.7%
WARWIL By 8-14 points
4.8%
CHSO By 1-7 points
25.3%
CHSO By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Warren Wilson
49
WARREN WILSON
Charleston Southern
57
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Warren Wilson
54
WARREN WILSON
Charleston Southern
98
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Buccaneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
106
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim
o162.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 4, 2025
WARWIL @ CHSO
63 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+395.0% more
Charleston Southern: 4.9
vs
Warren Wilson: 0.9
Rebounding (L5)
+66.6% more
Charleston Southern: 42.6
vs
Warren Wilson: 25.6
Assists (L5)
+51.8% more
Charleston Southern: 15.4
vs
Warren Wilson: 10.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Charleston Southern: 29.9%
vs
Warren Wilson: 22.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WARWIL Score
49.0
63
CHSO Score
57.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 22.2
44.0 / 17.0
Assists
15.4 / 10.2
33.0 / 4.0
Blocks
4.9 / 0.9
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 31.8
53.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
64.5 / 61.5
70.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
42.6 / 25.6
69.0 / 29.0
Steals
3.2 / 5.7
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 21.1
15.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WARWIL
--
CHSO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WARWIL
--
CHSO
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WARWIL
--
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
WARWIL
CHSO
WARWIL
ML
43%
13-17
--
0-0
67%
20-10
--
0-0
ATS
50%
15-15
--
0-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
TTL
50%
15-15
--
0-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0