Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Pilots LC @ PORT

LEWIS & CLARK

PIONEERSLC

0-0  |  Road

87
FINAL
Fri, Dec 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Chiles Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

PILOTSPORT

6-4  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
📊
PILOTS
0%
PIONEERS --
PILOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Portland)
PioneersLC (-3.5) 0 PilotsPORT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

13.6%

Pilots Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PORT -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PORT)

LC By 1-7 points

9.3%

LC By 8-14 points

2.7%

PORT By 1-7 points

21.6%

PORT By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
83
LEWIS & CLARK
94
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
56
LEWIS & CLARK
98
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pilots Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pilots Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pilots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Pilots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 5, 2025 LC @ PORT 87 - 104
Nov 6, 2024 LC @ PORT 70 - 83
Nov 8, 2023 LC @ PORT 72 - 89
Nov 7, 2022 LC @ PORT 62 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +141.9% more
Portland: 3.6 vs Lewis & Clark: 1.5
Turnovers (L5) +20.5% more
Portland: 16.4 vs Lewis & Clark: 13.6
Field Goal % (L5) +19.9%
Portland: 53.8% vs Lewis & Clark: 33.9%
Assists (L5) +16.5% more
Portland: 17.6 vs Lewis & Clark: 15.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LC Score 83.0 87
PORT Score 94.0 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 34.1 30.0 / 42.0
Assists 17.6 / 15.1 30.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.6 / 1.5 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 53.8 / 33.9 53.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 75.6 / 69.3 79.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 34.3 48.0 / 21.0
Steals 4.9 / 6.7 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 16.4 / 13.6 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LC
--
PORT Advantage
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LC
--
PORT Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LC
--
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PORT
LC
PORT
LC
ML
48% 16-17
100% 1-0
82% 27-6
100% 1-0
ATS
67% 22-11
100% 1-0
82% 28-6
100% 1-0
TTL
55% 18-15
100% 1-0
100% 34-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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