Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Huskies ETAM @ CONN

EAST TEXAS A&M

LIONSETAM

4-4  |  Road

59
FINAL
Fri, Dec 5 • 7:30 PM ET
Gampel Pavilion
View Odds Details →

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

8-1  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
LIONS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
89.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (UConn)
LionsETAM (-3.5) 0 HuskiesCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

18.4%

Huskies Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

ETAM By 1-7 points

12.2%

ETAM By 8-14 points

4.0%

CONN By 1-7 points

24.3%

CONN By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
40
EAST TEXAS A&M
49
UCONN
Simulated Score
52
EAST TEXAS A&M
88
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 89.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 5, 2025 ETAM @ CONN 59 - 83
Nov 19, 2024 ETAM @ CONN 46 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +67.6% more
UConn: 5.7 vs East Texas A&M: 3.4
Rebounding (L5) +8.2% more
UConn: 37.5 vs East Texas A&M: 34.7
Free Throw % (L5) +3.1%
UConn: 71.4% vs East Texas A&M: 68.3%
Steals (L5) +25.1% more
East Texas A&M: 9.4 vs UConn: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score 40.0 59
CONN Score 49.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.9 / 38.9 25.0 / 33.0
Assists 16.1 / 18.9 17.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.7 / 3.4 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 47.3 52.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 68.3 79.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 34.7 39.0 / 27.0
Steals 7.1 / 9.4 6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 12.2 6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
CONN
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.3
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
ETAM
CONN
ETAM
ML
76% 29-9
52% 13-12
66% 23-12
62% 15-9
ATS
74% 28-10
56% 14-11
66% 23-12
62% 15-9
TTL
50% 19-19
68% 17-8
100% 35-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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