CHRISTENDOM
CRUSADERSCTDM
0-0 | Road
36
VMI
KEYDETSVMI
4-7 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
KEYDETS
0%
CRUSADERS
--
KEYDETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (VMI)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VMI -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)
CTDM By 1-7 points
0.0%
CTDM By 8-14 points
0.0%
VMI By 1-7 points
0.1%
VMI By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Christendom
55
CHRISTENDOM
VMI
93
VMI
Simulated Score
Christendom
40
CHRISTENDOM
VMI
96
VMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Keydets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Keydets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Keydets (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Keydets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -56.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 5, 2025
CTDM @ VMI
36 - 89
Nov 12, 2024
CTDM @ VMI
56 - 102
Nov 9, 2023
CTDM @ VMI
53 - 87
Nov 20, 2019
CTDM @ VMI
20 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+90.7% more
VMI: 6.6
vs
Christendom: 3.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+36.4%
VMI: 71.5%
vs
Christendom: 35.1%
Rebounding (L5)
+28.8% more
VMI: 34.2
vs
Christendom: 26.5
Blocks (L5)
+17.1% more
VMI: 2.0
vs
Christendom: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CTDM Score
55.0
36
VMI Score
93.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.6 / 21.6
39.0 / 28.0
Assists
7.2 / 7.7
24.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.7
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
32.0 / 29.3
46.0 / 21.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 35.1
63.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 26.5
59.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.6 / 3.4
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 23.2
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CTDM
--
VMI
Advantage
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CTDM
--
VMI
Advantage
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CTDM
--
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VMI
CTDM
VMI
CTDM
ML
53%
17-15
100%
1-0
84%
27-5
100%
1-0
ATS
50%
16-16
100%
1-0
84%
27-5
100%
1-0
TTL
62%
20-12
0%
0-1
100%
32-0
100%
1-0