AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
50%
RAIDERS
50%
CARDINALS
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-48.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +48.0 points (Colgate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -48.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
SJFISH By 1-7 points
0.0%
SJFISH By 8-14 points
0.0%
COLG By 1-7 points
0.0%
COLG By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
St. John Fisher
52
ST. JOHN FISHER
Colgate
100
COLGATE
Simulated Score
St. John Fisher
55
ST. JOHN FISHER
Colgate
92
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Proj Spread: -48.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
152
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
SJFISH @ COLG
50 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+302.0% more
Colgate: 3.7
vs
St. John Fisher: 0.7
Steals (L5)
+17.8% more
Colgate: 6.3
vs
St. John Fisher: 5.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.5%
Colgate: 74.1%
vs
St. John Fisher: 58.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.8%
Colgate: 50.2%
vs
St. John Fisher: 36.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJFISH Score
52.0
50
COLG Score
100.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 31.3
32.0 / 22.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.0
29.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.7 / 0.7
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 36.3
63.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
74.1 / 58.7
75.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 35.3
42.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.3
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 24.3
12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJFISH
--
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJFISH
--
COLG
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SJFISH
--
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
SJFISH
COLG
SJFISH
ML
59%
19-13
--
0-0
69%
22-10
--
0-0
ATS
72%
23-9
--
0-0
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
TTL
78%
25-7
--
0-0
100%
33-0
100%
1-0