CALUMET
CRIMSON WAVECSJ
0-0 | Road
58
VALPARAISO
BEACONSVAL
6-3 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON WAVE
100%
BEACONS
0%
CRIMSON WAVE
--
BEACONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
VALPARAISO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Valparaiso)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VAL -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAL)
CSJ By 1-7 points
0.0%
CSJ By 8-14 points
0.0%
VAL By 1-7 points
0.0%
VAL By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Calumet
45
CALUMET
Valparaiso
88
VALPARAISO
Simulated Score
Calumet
58
CALUMET
Valparaiso
92
VALPARAISO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Beacons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Beacons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Beacons (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Beacons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
CSJ @ VAL
58 - 98
Dec 22, 2024
CSJ @ VAL
57 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.6% more
Valparaiso: 5.8
vs
Calumet: 3.9
Rebounding (L5)
+43.3% more
Valparaiso: 39.9
vs
Calumet: 27.9
Assists (L5)
+33.8% more
Valparaiso: 12.5
vs
Calumet: 9.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Valparaiso: 42.1%
vs
Calumet: 32.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSJ Score
45.0
58
VAL Score
88.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 31.7
39.0 / 27.0
Assists
12.5 / 9.4
25.0 / 4.0
Blocks
5.8 / 3.9
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 32.1
59.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 70.2
58.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 27.9
42.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.1
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 17.3
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSJ
--
VAL
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSJ
--
VAL
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CSJ
--
VAL
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAL
CSJ
VAL
CSJ
ML
48%
16-17
50%
1-1
61%
20-13
100%
2-0
ATS
52%
17-16
50%
1-1
61%
20-13
100%
2-0
TTL
61%
20-13
50%
1-1
100%
33-0
100%
2-0
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