AI Model Win Probability
IU EAST
100%
COLONELS
0%
IU EAST
--
COLONELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Eastern Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EKU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EKU)
IUE By 1-7 points
0.1%
IUE By 8-14 points
0.0%
EKU By 1-7 points
0.6%
EKU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana University East
40
INDIANA UNIVERSITY EAST
Eastern Kentucky
72
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Indiana University East
64
INDIANA UNIVERSITY EAST
Eastern Kentucky
98
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Colonels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colonels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Colonels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
IUE @ EKU
67 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.5% more
Eastern Kentucky: 2.9
vs
Indiana University East: 2.0
Steals (L5)
+39.0% more
Eastern Kentucky: 7.0
vs
Indiana University East: 5.0
Rebounding (L5)
+17.2% more
Eastern Kentucky: 36.3
vs
Indiana University East: 31.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Eastern Kentucky: 41.5%
vs
Indiana University East: 33.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUE Score
40.0
67
EKU Score
72.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 32.0
36.0 / 44.0
Assists
11.9 / 14.0
24.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.0
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.5 / 33.0
49.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 75.0
72.0 / 45.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 31.0
50.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.0 / 5.0
26.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 15.0
12.0 / 31.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUE
--
EKU
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUE
--
EKU
Advantage
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
IUE
--
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EKU
IUE
EKU
IUE
ML
44%
14-18
50%
1-1
69%
22-10
100%
2-0
ATS
56%
18-14
50%
1-1
69%
22-10
100%
2-0
TTL
53%
17-15
100%
2-0
100%
32-0
100%
2-0