AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
GOLDEN FLASHES
0%
REDHAWKS
--
GOLDEN FLASHES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Kent State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENT -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)
RW By 1-7 points
0.0%
RW By 8-14 points
0.0%
KENT By 1-7 points
0.0%
KENT By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Roberts Wesleyan
61
ROBERTS WESLEYAN
Kent State
103
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
Roberts Wesleyan
58
ROBERTS WESLEYAN
Kent State
88
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Flashes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Flashes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Flashes (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim
Golden Flashes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o159.5
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
RW @ KENT
68 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+142.4% more
Kent State: 41.2
vs
Roberts Wesleyan: 17.0
Assists (L5)
+39.8% more
Kent State: 21.0
vs
Roberts Wesleyan: 15.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+21.5%
Kent State: 66.5%
vs
Roberts Wesleyan: 45.0%
Blocks (L5)
+18.8% more
Kent State: 4.8
vs
Roberts Wesleyan: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RW Score
61.0
68
KENT Score
103.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.5 / 35.0
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
21.0 / 15.0
25.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.0
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
53.5 / 46.0
65.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 45.0
81.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
41.2 / 17.0
48.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.5 / 12.0
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 12.0
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RW
--
KENT
Advantage
24-10-0
(70.6%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RW
--
KENT
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
RW
--
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
RW
KENT
RW
ML
53%
18-16
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
ATS
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
65%
22-12
100%
1-0
TTL
44%
15-19
100%
1-0
100%
34-0
100%
1-0