BOWIE STATE
BULLDOGSBOWE
0-0 | Road
69
HOWARD
BISONHOW
5-5 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
BISON
0%
BULLDOGS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Howard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOW -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)
BOWE By 1-7 points
1.4%
BOWE By 8-14 points
0.2%
HOW By 1-7 points
6.8%
HOW By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Bowie State
68
BOWIE STATE
Howard
89
HOWARD
Simulated Score
Bowie State
62
BOWIE STATE
Howard
85
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bison
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bison (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
BOWE @ HOW
69 - 85
Jan 15, 2025
BOWE @ HOW
76 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+71.0% more
Howard: 3.4
vs
Bowie State: 2.0
Steals (L5)
+30.5% more
Howard: 10.4
vs
Bowie State: 8.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+29.8%
Howard: 70.1%
vs
Bowie State: 40.3%
Rebounding (L5)
+12.4% more
Howard: 35.2
vs
Bowie State: 31.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOWE Score
68.0
69
HOW Score
89.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 42.0
25.0 / 25.0
Assists
15.7 / 19.3
20.0 / 5.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.0
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 45.3
50.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 40.3
63.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 31.3
40.0 / 30.0
Steals
10.4 / 8.0
11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 10.3
20.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOWE
--
HOW
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOWE
--
HOW
Advantage
22-8-1
(73.3%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BOWE
--
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
BOWE
HOW
BOWE
ML
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
ATS
59%
20-14
100%
1-0
71%
22-9
100%
1-0
TTL
62%
21-13
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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