OLE MISS
REBELSMISS
5-4 | Road
58
ST. JOHN'S
RED STORMSJU
5-3 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
REBELS
0%
RED STORM
100%
REBELS
--
RED STORM
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Ole Miss)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MISS -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)
MISS By 1-7 points
0.1%
MISS By 8-14 points
0.8%
SJU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SJU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Ole Miss
102
OLE MISS
St. John's
64
ST. JOHN'S
Simulated Score
Ole Miss
72
OLE MISS
St. John's
78
ST. JOHN'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rebels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Storm
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rebels (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Red Storm (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 6, 2025
MISS @ SJU
58 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.9% more
Ole Miss: 7.2
vs
St. John's: 3.9
Steals (L5)
+12.4% more
Ole Miss: 7.3
vs
St. John's: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.2%
Ole Miss: 79.7%
vs
St. John's: 72.5%
Rebounding (L5)
+14.0% more
St. John's: 37.0
vs
Ole Miss: 32.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MISS Score
102.0
58
SJU Score
64.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 36.4
18.0 / 13.0
Assists
16.3 / 14.9
8.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.9 / 7.2
10.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 43.1
34.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 79.7
71.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 32.4
38.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.4 / 7.3
13.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 10.6
20.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MISS
--
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MISS
--
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MISS
--
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJU
MISS
SJU
MISS
ML
62%
18-11
48%
16-17
62%
18-11
52%
17-16
ATS
66%
19-10
61%
20-13
62%
18-11
52%
17-16
TTL
59%
17-12
64%
21-12
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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