UIC
FLAMESUIC
4-5 | Road
66
YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
10-1 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
FLAMES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UIC -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
UIC By 1-7 points
3.3%
UIC By 8-14 points
10.7%
YALE By 1-7 points
0.5%
YALE By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
UIC
83
UIC
Yale
58
YALE
Simulated Score
UIC
68
UIC
Yale
73
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
UIC @ YALE
66 - 80
Nov 8, 2024
YALE @ UIC
79 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+44.6% more
UIC: 14.9
vs
Yale: 8.3
Blocks (L5)
+30.9% more
UIC: 4.7
vs
Yale: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+11.0% more
UIC: 7.7
vs
Yale: 6.9
Rebounding (L5)
+8.0% more
UIC: 38.9
vs
Yale: 35.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UIC Score
83.0
66
YALE Score
58.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 26.0
45.0 / 30.0
Assists
19.1 / 12.5
15.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.7
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
54.3 / 41.6
43.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 71.8
82.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 38.9
41.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.7
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.3 / 14.9
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
YALE
Advantage
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
UIC
YALE
UIC
ML
48%
15-16
57%
20-15
58%
18-13
44%
15-19
ATS
65%
20-11
54%
19-16
58%
18-13
44%
15-19
TTL
61%
19-12
60%
21-14
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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