BETHANY (WV)
BISONBCWV
0-0 | Road
51
MERCYHURST
LAKERSMERC
4-6 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
LAKERS
100%
BISON
--
LAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-57.0
BETHANY (WV)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +57.0 points (Bethany (WV))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BCWV -57.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BCWV)
BCWV By 1-7 points
0.0%
BCWV By 8-14 points
0.0%
MERC By 1-7 points
0.0%
MERC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethany (WV)
111
BETHANY (WV)
Mercyhurst
54
MERCYHURST
Simulated Score
Bethany (WV)
55
BETHANY (WV)
Mercyhurst
88
MERCYHURST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bison (+43.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -57.0
D
Sim
Lakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
BCWV @ MERC
51 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+61.3% more
Bethany (WV): 26.4
vs
Mercyhurst: 10.2
Steals (L5)
+10.3% more
Bethany (WV): 7.7
vs
Mercyhurst: 6.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Bethany (WV): 33.3%
vs
Mercyhurst: 31.3%
Blocks (L5)
+184.6% more
Mercyhurst: 4.4
vs
Bethany (WV): 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BCWV Score
111.0
51
MERC Score
54.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 33.3
41.0 / 36.0
Assists
13.3 / 14.1
21.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.4 / 1.6
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 37.9
53.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
56.1 / 56.4
20.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 28.2
39.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.7
13.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 26.4
9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCWV
--
MERC
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCWV
--
MERC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BCWV
--
MERC
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MERC
BCWV
MERC
BCWV
ML
59%
20-14
0%
0-2
79%
26-7
100%
2-0
ATS
62%
21-13
50%
1-1
79%
26-7
100%
2-0
TTL
53%
18-16
50%
1-1
100%
33-0
100%
2-0
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