AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
0%
TEXANS
100%
AGGIES
--
TEXANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
89.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+23.0
TARLETON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TAR +23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TAR)
CAMR By 1-7 points
4.8%
CAMR By 8-14 points
13.7%
TAR By 1-7 points
0.8%
TAR By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cameron
56
CAMERON
Tarleton State
33
TARLETON STATE
Simulated Score
Cameron
55
CAMERON
Tarleton State
78
TARLETON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Aggies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Texans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Texans (+43.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +23.0
D
Sim
Texans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 89.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
CAMR @ TAR
63 - 93
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAMR Score
56.0
63
TAR Score
33.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 0.0
35.0 / 32.0
Assists
17.0 / 0.0
12.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.1 / 0.0
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 0.0
56.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 0.0
50.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
38.8 / 0.0
43.0 / 33.0
Steals
14.3 / 0.0
13.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 0.0
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAMR
--
TAR
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAMR
--
TAR
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CAMR
--
TAR
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TAR
CAMR
TAR
CAMR
ML
59%
19-13
0%
0-1
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
ATS
69%
22-10
100%
1-0
66%
21-11
100%
1-0
TTL
50%
16-16
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0