BRESCIA
BEARCATSBRESC
0-0 | Road
53
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORSENKU
8-3 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
100%
NORSE
0%
BEARCATS
--
NORSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-75.0
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +75.0 points (Northern Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NKU -75.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NKU)
BRESC By 1-7 points
0.0%
BRESC By 8-14 points
0.0%
NKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NKU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Brescia
36
BRESCIA
Northern Kentucky
111
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Brescia
51
BRESCIA
Northern Kentucky
92
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Norse
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Norse
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Norse (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -75.0
D
Sim
Norse (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
BRESC @ NKU
53 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+91.5% more
Northern Kentucky: 4.7
vs
Brescia: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+81.8% more
Northern Kentucky: 16.4
vs
Brescia: 9.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+15.7%
Northern Kentucky: 45.8%
vs
Brescia: 30.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.5%
Northern Kentucky: 35.8%
vs
Brescia: 20.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRESC Score
36.0
53
NKU Score
111.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 20.3
30.0 / 15.0
Assists
16.4 / 9.0
10.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.7 / 2.5
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 30.1
47.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
85.8 / 82.9
79.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 30.6
50.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.6 / 8.7
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 16.6
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRESC
--
NKU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRESC
--
NKU
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BRESC
--
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NKU
BRESC
NKU
BRESC
ML
53%
18-16
100%
2-0
65%
22-12
100%
2-0
ATS
56%
19-15
100%
2-0
65%
22-12
100%
2-0
TTL
68%
23-11
100%
2-0
100%
34-0
100%
2-0
