AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
TITANS
0%
FLAMES
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Cal State Fullerton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUF -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUF)
BTHS By 1-7 points
16.9%
BTHS By 8-14 points
6.8%
CSUF By 1-7 points
26.8%
CSUF By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethesda University
80
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
Cal State Fullerton
86
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
Bethesda University
52
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
Cal State Fullerton
88
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Titans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
BTHS @ CSUF
66 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+49.2% more
Cal State Fullerton: 36.7
vs
Bethesda University: 24.6
Assists (L5)
+48.8% more
Cal State Fullerton: 10.6
vs
Bethesda University: 7.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.0%
Cal State Fullerton: 42.0%
vs
Bethesda University: 30.0%
Steals (L5)
+11.7% more
Cal State Fullerton: 7.4
vs
Bethesda University: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BTHS Score
80.0
66
CSUF Score
86.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.3 / 22.7
28.0 / 34.0
Assists
10.6 / 7.1
30.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.8 / 1.8
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 30.0
62.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 72.5
75.0 / 36.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 24.6
47.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.7
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 13.2
13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BTHS
--
CSUF
Advantage
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BTHS
--
CSUF
Advantage
19-11-2
(63.3%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BTHS
--
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
BTHS
CSUF
BTHS
ML
68%
23-11
100%
7-0
76%
26-8
100%
7-0
ATS
68%
23-11
100%
7-0
76%
26-8
100%
7-0
TTL
59%
20-14
71%
5-2
100%
34-0
100%
7-0