BETHESDA UNIVERSITY

FLAMESBTHS

0-0  |  Road

66
FINAL
Wed, Dec 10 • 10:00 PM ET
Titan Gym
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CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

4-7  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
TITANS
0%
FLAMES --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Cal State Fullerton)
FlamesBTHS (-3.5) 0 TitansCSUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

27.4%

Titans Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUF -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUF)

BTHS By 1-7 points

16.9%

BTHS By 8-14 points

6.8%

CSUF By 1-7 points

26.8%

CSUF By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
80
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
86
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
52
BETHESDA UNIVERSITY
88
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Titans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Titans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Titans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 10, 2025 BTHS @ CSUF 66 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +49.2% more
Cal State Fullerton: 36.7 vs Bethesda University: 24.6
Assists (L5) +48.8% more
Cal State Fullerton: 10.6 vs Bethesda University: 7.1
Field Goal % (L5) +12.0%
Cal State Fullerton: 42.0% vs Bethesda University: 30.0%
Steals (L5) +11.7% more
Cal State Fullerton: 7.4 vs Bethesda University: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BTHS Score 80.0 66
CSUF Score 86.0 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.3 / 22.7 28.0 / 34.0
Assists 10.6 / 7.1 30.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.8 / 1.8 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 30.0 62.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 72.5 75.0 / 36.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 24.6 47.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.4 / 6.7 11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 13.2 13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BTHS
--
CSUF Advantage
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BTHS
--
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BTHS
--
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
BTHS
CSUF
BTHS
ML
68% 23-11
100% 7-0
76% 26-8
100% 7-0
ATS
68% 23-11
100% 7-0
76% 26-8
100% 7-0
TTL
59% 20-14
71% 5-2
100% 34-0
100% 7-0