AI Model Win Probability
VULCANS
100%
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
VULCANS
--
RAINBOW WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Hawai'i)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)
HAWH By 1-7 points
0.0%
HAWH By 8-14 points
0.0%
HAW By 1-7 points
0.4%
HAW By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Hawai'i Hilo
89
HAWAI'I HILO
Hawai'i
123
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
Hawai'i Hilo
57
HAWAI'I HILO
Hawai'i
82
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rainbow Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rainbow Warriors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rainbow Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Rainbow Warriors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 10, 2025
HAWH @ HAW
46 - 98
Nov 14, 2023
HAWH @ HAW
66 - 82
Nov 10, 2021
HAWH @ HAW
67 - 97
Dec 19, 2020
HAWH @ HAW
66 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+279.5% more
Hawai'i: 4.3
vs
Hawai'i Hilo: 1.1
Assists (L5)
+61.1% more
Hawai'i: 12.6
vs
Hawai'i Hilo: 7.8
Rebounding (L5)
+35.4% more
Hawai'i: 42.7
vs
Hawai'i Hilo: 31.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Hawai'i: 47.0%
vs
Hawai'i Hilo: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HAWH Score
89.0
46
HAW Score
123.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 28.9
37.0 / 13.0
Assists
12.6 / 7.8
25.0 / 2.0
Blocks
4.3 / 1.1
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 41.0
51.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
68.0 / 71.1
68.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
42.7 / 31.5
45.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.3 / 5.9
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 14.0
6.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAWH
--
HAW
Advantage
24-9-0
(72.7%)
Margin: 9.0
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAWH
--
HAW
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 9.0
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HAWH
--
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
HAWH
HAW
HAWH
ML
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
ATS
67%
22-11
100%
1-0
68%
21-10
100%
1-0
TTL
61%
20-13
100%
1-0
100%
31-0
100%
1-0