COASTAL GEORGIA
MARINERCOGA
0-0 | Road
58
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
EAGLESGASO
7-5 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
MARINER
100%
EAGLES
0%
MARINER
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Georgia Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GASO -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)
COGA By 1-7 points
0.0%
COGA By 8-14 points
0.0%
GASO By 1-7 points
0.0%
GASO By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Coastal Georgia
46
COASTAL GEORGIA
Georgia Southern
88
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Coastal Georgia
56
COASTAL GEORGIA
Georgia Southern
88
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 11, 2025
COGA @ GASO
58 - 100
Nov 28, 2020
COGA @ GASO
79 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+17.6% more
Georgia Southern: 3.7
vs
Coastal Georgia: 3.1
Steals (L5)
+16.9% more
Georgia Southern: 8.5
vs
Coastal Georgia: 7.3
Assists (L5)
+14.5% more
Georgia Southern: 11.1
vs
Coastal Georgia: 9.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.6%
Georgia Southern: 44.9%
vs
Coastal Georgia: 35.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COGA Score
46.0
58
GASO Score
88.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 36.2
39.0 / 27.0
Assists
11.1 / 9.7
20.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.1
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 35.3
52.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
69.3 / 60.2
78.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 31.6
46.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.5 / 7.3
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 19.3
7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COGA
--
GASO
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COGA
--
GASO
Advantage
17-18-0
(48.6%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
COGA
--
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
COGA
GASO
COGA
ML
56%
20-16
100%
3-0
58%
19-14
100%
3-0
ATS
64%
23-13
100%
3-0
58%
19-14
100%
3-0
TTL
61%
22-14
33%
1-2
100%
33-0
100%
3-0
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